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Up Next – Accrington Stanley – In Preview

   Published Date: March 15, 2021  Leave a Comment on Up Next – Accrington Stanley – In Preview

Three days after we gained a half share of the EFL Trophy in 2019 we headed to Accrington in a game that was huge in relation to our promotion aspirations, bizarrely after winning the EFL Trophy yesterday, in a few sleeps we are headed to Accrington once again, with a very similar scenario.

Hopefully we won’t be going to Wembley again til the 2023 FA Cup Final, but if we do have to, we can win there, the ultimate goal is obviously promotion – but great to win yesterday, it’s a shame we weren’t there, but the rejuvenation and cleansing of this wonderful club genuinely feels like it’s well underway. Our previous owners did their best to hawk the family silver, but all of a sudden it feels as if we have some great young lads coming through, the future feels very bright….

I’m not advocating drinking beer or otherwise, but FFS…. you’ve just won the cup and the beer choice is Budweiser or Budweiser….. I get that Wembley / The FA are at the mercy of sponsors, but Budweiser man? I’d rather lick a dogs arse….. I’m aware of the influence of sponsors, but surely there’s a line?

When we decided to play in Division 3, Accrington Stanley was probably the epitome of how we’d fallen from grace? If we did wonder who they were prior to our first ever meeting in December 2018, we certainly knew a few months later. Bizarrely we’ve played at their gaff 4 times and just hosted them once, a combination of Rain, Season Curtailment, COVID have led to a very unbalanced playing history. Whilst a lazy Interweb search will give you the results, realistically a graph is needed….

As always fairly self explanatory….
DATA DATA HIGH VOLTAGE !!!!! All pretty straight forward, whilst our win coefficient is 75%, we have a away win coefficient of 100% – basic graph protocol means that the win coefficient is boosted by 10%, (so 82.5% not 75%). The Points Per Game Coefficient shows we have a 10% advantage, in layman’s terms this translates to 0.33 of a goal. When you factor in GPG, (scored), and GCPG, (conceded), we have a +15 goal differential , which in layman’s terms = another 0.33 of a goal,. I’ve discounted the momentum factor, given it’s their cup final, but we can basically add 0.66, (1), of a goal to the projected scoreline. Most reading this are competent in scientific data analysis, in short we will win this game either 2-0 or 3-0.

Bizarrely out of 13 remaining games, 4 of them are against Blackpool or Accrington, I’ve never bought into the arrogance/entitlement angle, but we are on a roll – I’m confident we win this league all day long – 100%

#1 – Wet
#2 – Easy
#3 – Another win
#4 – good to see Premiership Referee Lee Mason is a SAFC fan

Wish You Were Here….

Wouldn’t it be wonderful to be there on Wednesday night? I’m under no illusions that this blog is shite – but no more so than most forums, fanzines, podcasts or newspapers – I’m prolific if nothing else. I had a media pass for the curtailed game in December – I’ve hit the post with being able to go on Weds night, but shy kids get nowt?

Goalposts moved….

Match report Wednesday as usual.

SAFCBlog – Automatic Promotion Shithouse Media, in association with Budweiser – KING OF BEERS – FTM

Fucking rain…… wettest day ever on our first visit…..

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